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Hurricane Alex Public Advisory

Post-Tropical Cyclone ALEX

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
500 PM AST FRI JAN 15 2016


...ALEX BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.0N 27.8W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM N OF TERCEIRA IN THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Alex has lost its tropical characteristics.
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Alex was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 27.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 40 mph (65 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and west with an additional increase in forward speed is expected over the next 36 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours, and the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to merge with another extratropical cyclone by Sunday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 485 miles (780 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at //www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml, and in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at //www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.
$$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN

more info on Hurricanes at www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane Alex Public Advisory

Tropical Storm ALEX

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
1100 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2016


...ALEX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...NOW MOVING AWAY FROM THE AZORES...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF TERCEIRA IN THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Azores Meteorological Service has discontinued the hurricane and tropical storm warning for the Azores.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
Satellite and surface data indicate that Alex made landfall on the island of Terceira around 915 AM AST (1315 UTC) as a tropical storm with an intensity of 70 mph (110 km/h).
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Alex is moving toward the north near 28 mph (44 km/h) and a turn toward the north-northwest and northwest is expected over the next day or so.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Alex is expected to lose tropical characteristics later today.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 460 miles (740 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are still possible over portions of the Azores for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.
RAINFALL: Rainfall in association with Alex should diminish across the Azores this afternoon.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge and waves should gradually diminish across the Azores today.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$ Forecaster Pasch

more info on Hurricanes at www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane Alex Public Advisory

Hurricane ALEX

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
800 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2016


...CENTER OF ALEX NEARING TERCEIRA ISLAND...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL AZORES DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.0N 26.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF TERCEIRA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ESE OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, and Terceira in the central Azores
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Sao Miguel and Santa Maria in the eastern Azores
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Alex was located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 26.9 West. Alex is moving toward the north near 24 mph (39 km/h). A northward motion at a faster forward speed is expected later this morning and this afternoon, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Alex will move near or over portions of the central Azores during the next few hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next day or so. However, Alex will likely lose its tropical characteristics by this afternoon or tonight while it moves over colder waters.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Ponta Delgada on Sao Miguel Island recently reported a sustained wind of 42 mph (69 km/h) and a wind gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). Santa Maria Island recently reported a sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a wind gust of 53 mph (85 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds will continue across the eastern and central Azores this morning, with hurricane conditions expected in the central Azores during the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.
RAINFALL: Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Azores through today, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches. These rains could produce life- threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall should diminish across the Azores by late afternoon.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center of Alex. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$ Forecaster Brennan

more info on Hurricanes at www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane Alex Public Advisory

Hurricane ALEX

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
500 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2016


...ALEX WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AZORES...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AZORES LATER THIS MORNING...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 27.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF TERCEIRA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SE OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, and Terceira in the central Azores
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Sao Miguel and Santa Maria in the eastern Azores
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Alex was located near latitude 36.8 North, longitude 27.0 West. Alex is moving toward the north near 23 mph (37 km/h). A northward motion and a faster forward speed are expected this morning and afternoon, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Alex will move near or over portions of the central Azores this morning.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next day or so. However, Alex will likely lose its tropical characteristics by this afternoon or tonight while it moves over colder waters.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Wind gusts to tropical storm force continue to be reported over portions the eastern and central Azores.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds will continue to spread across all of the eastern and central Azores this morning. Hurricane conditions are expected to spread over the central Azores by late morning.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.
RAINFALL: Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Azores through today, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall should diminish across the Azores by late afternoon.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center of Alex. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Forecaster Stewart

more info on Hurricanes at www.nhc.noaa.gov

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